To his credit, Kasy is a realist here. He doesn’t presume that any of these proposals will be easy to implement. Or that it will happen overnight, or even in the near future. The troubling question at ...

New bibliometric tool combs through scientific literature, patents, and grants to forecast future impact, but experts disagree about its usefulness ...

AI agents help businesses stop guessing — linking predictions to actions so teams can move from “what might happen” to ...

At the end of 2024, no AI had even managed to place 100th in one of the major competitions. But they have since vaulted up the leaderboards. AIs have already proved that they can make superhuman ...

For years, the strange phenomenon of precognition–an unwavering “gut feeling” that something will happen in the future–has puzzled scientists. The eerie concept may sound far-fetched, but many studies ...

Mathematicians may have a better way to measure agreement across different datasets. Agreement affects reproducibility, meta-analysis, and prediction to fill in missing data points. We need a more ...

Because if you have and you’ve done so on more than one occasion, consider yourself clairvoyant. Scientists define having a “gut feeling” as an unwavering strange feeling that something will occur in ...

Recently, my security team prevented a data breach—not by catching someone stealing data, but by predicting they would attempt it days before they actually tried. It wasn’t luck. We had something more ...